Clients Booming


Hi all,

So, we wrote quite some posts about our talks, our company, persuasion, science, etc. But, we have been fairly quiet about client performance.

This is (largely) because of our clients wishes: we would rather shout what we are doing of the roofs since we feel you might just be interested.

In any case, today I got to the office to see the performance of only a couple of days of usage of PersuasionAPI from one of our clients (no, not disclosing names in this post). And like before (and after) it rocks. Just some ballpark figures copied and pasted from our management interface:

PersuasionAPI performance

 

So yes, “double digit growth is not uncommon“.

Stay tuned, we will be publishing more.

 

Neuromarketing in Sao Paulo: Maurits and his Mile-High Birthday


On the 6th of March, after lecturing about confirmatory factor analysis at Tilburg University I flew off to Sao Paulo for the Neuro Marketing World Forum. I was invited by Carla Nagel from the NSMA to give a talk about persuasion profiling.

Neuro Marketing World Forum 2013

The evening of the 6th was nice, with a cool speaker dinner in a restaurant down town. Since I would only be in Sao Paulo for 3 days I was happy to see some of the town (in the dark, from a bus…) and have some social time with the other speakers. Many great people making their stance the days after so I was looking forward to conference day 1.

On day 1, above all it became clear that we are not a neuromarketing firm. I had reckoned that before I left, but most of these guys took the neuro in neuromarketing very seriously: fMRI studies, EEG, GSR, any measurement of brain activity, limbic system, sweat, whatever they could obtain was related to advertising outcomes.

Many very cool studies showing (e.g.) an uptake of activity in the “memory” parts of the brain for some advertisements and not for others, ostensibly predicting the success of the ads.

However, as a speaker on day 2 noticed: many of the clients of the neuro marketing research firms still had trouble believing some of their findings. Is the “brainwave” of 5 people looking at your tv commercial really sufficient to predict the purchase behavior of millions and millions of customers around the world?

However, despite some – I guess – healthy skepticism it was cool to see the cutting edge of this type of work. While I do not think neuromarketing is anywhere near application (they seem to be more in a testing / market research stage) I do feel these people are the first to experiment with amazing technologies that likely will shape our lives in years to come.

For now however, I believe we have sufficient work of learning how people behave – while ignoring their brainwaves – using the great tool we build to study people: the internet.

Neuromarketing and Persuasion Profiling

In my talk (on the 8th of March) I related persuasion profiling to some of the neuromarketing work I had been seeing the day before. While persuasion strategies might not be the key to understanding human behavior, they certainly work well to predict and influence behavior.

I explained how we see the problem of the marketer not as one where ads need to be tested, but rather as a problem in which, given a number of ads, and given the previous responses of the customer, we want to optimize revenue over our set of competing advertisements. I explained how we got to persuasion profiles – modeling individual differences in responses to persuasion – and how we ended up trading off explore and exploit. The latter especially seem to resonate with a part of the crowd that was not interested in market research per se but actually wanted to get their revenues up online.

People seemed to appreciate our outtake on online marketing which was great to see. I had many interesting discussion after the talk, ranging from the common “how does this work over product categories” to interesting ideas about coupling persuasion profiles to eye-tracking data (collected using your standard webcam) to make sure the impression we used for training the profile was indeed intended to. Cool stuff.

Now, at 5pm on the 8th (yes, short trip) I am flying back home. And somewhere in a plane hovering above the atlantic ocean I will turn thirty. Damn.

Cheers,

Maurits

Events Where You Can Hang With Science Rockstars


Science Rockstars Events

Who knows!?

We have a lot going on these days. We will be present at multiple cool events, local ones and international ones, and we would love to meet up!

Come have a drink or hang with us at the following events.

Upcoming Science Rockstars Events

Hero Conference – April 8-10, Austin Texas, venue: AT&T Conference Center        Tweet #HeroConf

SXSWMarch 8-17, Austin Texas                                                                                        Tweet #SXSW

Neuromarketing World Forum – 6-8 March, Sao Paulo, Brazil

NudgeStock – 24th of May, London

Ogilvy Big Data Lab Day - 6th of June, London

Let us know if you are in the neighborhood and want to hang out!


Mass Persuasion: Out of Beta and Straight Meta


After running our Beta in a private setting with several clients, we are shaking things up a bit.

We recently started running our solution in a public beta setting and we will go live in a month or two. We are also working on our company identity and style. So expect some cool visuals coming your way soon.

Last year we spent a lot of time with our team to develop the engine that makes our company tick.

Out of Beta and Straight Meta

We tested it with some great companies in many countries and many languages with remarkable results. This year our focus will be on the front end of our cloud solution, while continuously improving our product.

With a focus on telling our story and a user friendly customer experience, we are designing our test environment, the dashboards for each user (content creator, marketer, etc.) and of course our website.

So 2013 will be an important year for us. Not only making sure a lot of you have access to our product and can start using it, but also educating and helping you to use this incredible tool.

Together with our incredible team and you, we will be able to ensure that Persuasion Profiling will be the next big thing in online marketing.

With already 14 peeps on board, we are making the steps we would like to make. Our team will be put shortly on the website, since we are very proud to have them.

And come hang out with us, since we will be at many events during the coming weeks due to some cool invites.

You can find us in Sao PaoloAustinAmsterdam, etc. I, myself, will be in Austin to attend SXSW where we also have a speaking slot on monday.

It would be great to meet up if you are there and would like to hang out.

So, in short, expect a lot of changes the coming months. A new website, a new corporate identity (or better our first actual identity), the 1st release after coming out of Private Beta, which will make our Cloud Solution available for many more people who showed their interest over the last 12 months.

We will also start a cool webinar series this year. Together with some incredible speakers that inspire us and hopefully you.

We expect Maurits his book, digitale verleiding, to be released in English.

So our international friends can also read why he is long-listed for Management Book of the year here in the Netherlands and what goes on in his mind.

Reach out to us if you want to know what we are up to and where our cool parties are but also if you want to check out our very impressive PersuasionAPI for your company.

You can drop us a line, say hi on twitter or give us a call!

Persuasion Picks #9


Alright, so here we are with the Persuasion Picks of this week. My first post as being the new kid on the block!

Applied persuasion techniques included.

And we are off.

Articles

20 Simple Steps to the Perfect Persuasive Message

“Perfection is hard to achieve in any walk of life and persuasion is no different”.

This nice post by Jeremy Dean makes it easier.

Persuasive Check Out Best Practice From ASOS

A classic by Paul Rouke analyzing the check out process at Asos.com. One of my favourite posts.

How to Quickly and Easily be More Persuasive

Jedi Mind Tricks: 17 Lesser Known Ways to Persuade People

Markitekt’s Peep Laja gives you a rundown of 17 tricks to increase your persuasive abilities.

Why Persuasive Design Should be Your Next Skill Set

Another classic from the wonderful people at UXMagazine. On the importance of applying persuasion principles to web design.

Aristotle’s 3 Secrets to Good Persuasion

He’s Greek so it has to be good, but eye I am biased. The video is definitely worth watching!

What Aristotle and Joshua Bell can teach you about Persuasion.

Presentations

Applying Behavior Design

“Every design decision influences the user”. Chris lays out a nice framework to keep it simple and practical when it comes to applying Behavior Design.

Persuasive E-commerce

Great Prezi by local hero Guido Jansen. How online persuasion paves the way for engaging E-commerce.

How to Sell you a Shitty Book @ TEDxTilburgUniversity

Maurits talking about his own book. Boy, he loves talking about himself but we love him for it.

 

Persuasion Triggers & UX: A Happy Couple


Some time ago Maurits was asked to write something for the popular blog on interaction design; Johnny Holland. And I didn’t want to keep this from you, especially not if you are from the UX field.

Researchers and practitioners in fields ranging from marketing, to psychology, to medicine have been interested in how people persuade or influence other people.

Recently, a number of the persuasion principles (the ways in which people influence other people) that where used in face-to-face influence attempts are starting to make their way into the design of online services. Even though most of these persuasion principles are effective on average there are clear indications that we should personalize our use of these persuasion principles. Based on my PhD work I will describe why these strategies should be adapted to individuals using persuasion profiles, and I will try to address some of the issues that are relevant to UX designers.

Read more…

Speaking about Similarity and Familiarity on Maui


2013, as 2012, had a terrible (scientific) start with the HICSS conference: A top-notch conference situated on Maui, Hawaii. Things could be worse.

0-maui_master

This year I joined Petri Parvinen and Essi Poyry from the Aalto school of economics to present some of our (joint) work in front of a skeptical but highly intelligent crowd. Of course we tried to make some time to hit the ocean, do some surfing and paddle boarding, and swim with the turtles, but primarily we had a great conference.
Read more…

Rock on! A great 2013 to all!


So, 2012 saw the start of Science Rockstars, the launch of the PersuasionAPI, and a bunch of other amazing things. Now that 2013 has just started I (Maurits) thought it would be good to look back, and to look forward. So, here is a little update on what we have done (it’s a selection: we have done an awefull lot), and where we are heading. But first: A great 2013 to all of you! Let’s share it together.

Based on research work that started already in 2008, last year we launched PersuasionAPI: A way of dynamically adapting persuasive strategies for individual customers. The term Dean Eckles and I used (which was originated by BJ Fogg) “Persuasion Profiling” made it into the mainstream media and is now known by many: Up to a level that we have seen the first job vacancies that state as required competencies “knowledge of persuasion profiling”. Its great to see such adaptation of the ideas behind the PersuasionAPI.

Besides gaining attention from the media, we also got the PersuasionAPI to work with large clients. For example, for clients in the travel industry, we have been able to use persuasion profiling to drastically increase conversion. Hence, 2012 saw the first applied evaluations – at scales of tens of millions of users – of the academic work that underlies the API. We were stoked to see a clear contribution to the bottom line of our clients!

So, media attention, clients, and success stories: they all came already in the first year of the company. Internally we also grew quite heavily. We are expanding the team every month, and Science Rockstars now employs talented programmers, data scientists, and consultants. We became real, and we are growing into 2013!

In 2013 we expect a strong growth of the company with many new clients already signed up, and more to come. We are hiring more talent and we are expanding the product. The real-time advising API that we have will be extended to recommend prices dynamically, and to cater to all forms of product promotion, price and placement online. We are contributed to making online selling truly personal. In 2013 we might finally see online conversion rates approach offline conversion rates.

My book – sorry, in Dutch only – “Digitale Verleiding” explains how the use of persuasion profiles increases conversion, and how we will use personalization in the future. The book came out in November, and is now in its 3rd print. Personalization of persuasion is a hot topic, and we are determined to continue to deliver the computational back-end to make this possible.

In 2013 we will see expansion of PersuasionAPI, but also a stronger focus on other scientific advances. Science Rockstars will, as we have done over the past year, make sure to invite scientists from all over the world to think about – and talk about – how to use social science and data analytics to increase conversion. We had Dan Ariely speaking in 2012, but you should expect more where that came from in the coming years.

Overall, its exiting times. 2012 was cool, 2013 will be amazing. Follow us, join us, and inspire us. We will try to do the same.

Big Behavioral Data: Beyond The Hype


Although almost no one can tell you when data is “big” or not, we all want do “something” with big data.

But collecting terabytes of data doesn’t guarantee we will also use the available data very useful. Three recent trends begin to change the status quo.

Methods for analysing big data have improved, so we are better able to focus on the important data and ultimately make a shift from analytics to actual actions.

Big Data is actually any dataset that is too large to be analysed in memory. And that’s something you get rather quickly with the data you collect online. Your logfiles grow, only with a little traffic, into monstrous collections of potentially useful information.

Through the successful use of this type of data by some large organisations (Google, Facebook, and other ass-kicking companies), we now all want big data. However, the collection of a huge amount of logfiles by itself is not sufficient.

A very uninformative visualisation of “Big Data”

Be very critical when you collect data

Firstly you need to deliberately determine what data you collect. Does your logfile contain IP addresses, timestamps and URLs? What can you do with that information later?

Suppose you do not know what a specific URL contains, how do you know what why this URL interests your visitors?

Fortunately we are seeing a shift from gathering – often useless – log data to data collection that is actually informative for predicting the behavior of your users.

More and more companies understand the psychological processes that drive consumers’ decisions. We try to collect data that has significant predictive power if it concerns consumer behavior.

The recent focus on persuasion, what arguments influence your customers, is a good example. if your log files contain information about the type of influence that is used on specific URLs, and whether this specific influence attempt is successful or not, then you are actually able to meaningfully alter future interactions.

By knowing what drives the behavior of your consumers and to explicitly collect this behavioral information, you are entering the realm of highly effective big data.

From actionable data to automatic decisions

Even big behavioral data, inspired by the social science knowledge about your customers, is not enough. But what will you end up doing with this information?

Many of today’s big data solutions won’t do much more than counting specific lines in your log files. After counting they probably make a graph of the outcome.

Thus, a pretty picture appears that indicates that clients with IP addresses from the Netherlands more frequently visit Dutch URLs than customers from England. Or you can clearly see that between 02.00 ECT and 06.00 ECT you have fewer visitors from Europe.


Networks plots: very pretty indeed, but what should a marketer do with this?

If it concerns me, this only the beginning. Graphics are fun, and perhaps informative for online marketers to adjust running experiments. But too often companies purchase big data applications that create beautiful charts.

After a month or two looking at these charts, the same companies find out that it really is not that clear what should be done with the information.

Fortunately, a new trend is emerging and big data is more frequently being used to automatically make decisions rather than to create charts. Search engines use the count of common results to directly match suggestions, enabling a user to easier find what he seeks.

Recommendation engines, PersuasionAPI, and other decisioning technologies decide in real-time based how to optimally create your current page. Through specifying clear success criteria you can automatically optimise your page for each individual customer. Without the intervention of graphs and the interpretation of marketers.

A new order of data analysis

Finally, there is one last change upon us that will accelerate the meaningful use of big data: the possibilities to analyse the data, and ultimately to respond, are becoming more extensive.

A few years ago, running big data on standard database solutions would give many headaches. Hadoop, Hive, and MapReduce are opening up possibilities for the analysis of big data. These new technologies offer the possibility to store a lot of data and efficiently analyze it.

But Hadoop and Hive have their limitations: the analysis of the dataset is never real-time. This is why a Hadoop / Hive setup is good for graphics, but less effective for real-time decisions. The latter is especially difficult when you want to customize content between page views (within a session) based on the previous behavior of your visitors.

But developments don’t stop here as well. Streaming analytics capabilities are constantly expanding, and with solutions such as Storm almost anyone can use them. Technology combined with statistics brings us one step closer to the effective use of big behavioral data.

More and more companies follow the above trends. I think the coming years we will see new solutions that combine technology with knowledge about decision making and behavior to ultimately optimize your online activities.

This article was first published January 2nd on the Econsultancy Blog.